• Got the Contributing Memberships stuff finally worked out and made up a thread as a sort of "How-To" to help people figure out how to participate. So if you need help figuring it out, here's the thread you need to take a look at -> http://www.corvetteflorida.com/forums/showthread.php?t=3581 Thank you, everyone! Rich Z.

Storm in the Gulf!

exile

New member
Looks like it's starting early folks. Their tracking a storm out in the gulf with a projected path coming into the gulf coast Monday/Monday night. Here we go...........
 

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Joy Joy and I haven't even gone and picked up my plywood yet.

And here it looks like the projected path shows it coming in by Cedar Key which is a definite no-no for us. Let's just hope it blows itself out before it reaches land.
 
Wind shear is supposed to keep it from developing.

From the weather channel.
Tropical Depression One remains poorly organized this morning with its center of circulation located in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds continue to keep the depression from organizing further. The bulk of the torrential rainfall remains east of the center (due to the upper-level winds), soaking many residents across western Cuba. Portions of western Cuba may pick up as much as 10 to 30 inches of rain by Monday. Deadly flash flooding and mudslides are possible. Some of the rain on the eastern fringe of the system has already moved into the Florida Keys and extreme southern Florida. If the depression remains weak, as now seems likely, the low level winds will steer it westward into the central Gulf. If it strengthens, it will track more northward in the eastern Gulf before westerly winds aloft guide it into northern Florida late Monday or early Tuesday. In either case, expect soaking rains over portions of southern Florida the next couple of days.
 
Issued at: 9:33 AM CDT 6/11/06 (gateway).


Depression becomes first named storm of the 2006 season,

Interests in the eastern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

Reports from an air force reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that tropical depression one has strengthened into a tropical storm.

At 1000 am cdt, 1500z, the center of tropical storm alberto was located near latitude 23.9 north, longitude 88.1 west or about 400 miles, 645 km, west of key west Florida and about 445 miles, 715 km, south-southwest of apalachicola Florida.

Alberto is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph, 15 km/hr, and a turn toward the north and northeast is expected during the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph, 75 km/hr, with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles, 280 km to the east of the center.

The air force aircraft recently reported a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb, 29.65 inches.

Alberto is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 10 to 20 inches over the western half of cuba, with isolated totals of 30 inches over the higher terrain. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are possible over the Florida keys and the Florida peninsula through Monday.

Repeating the 1000 am cdt position, 23.9 n, 88.1 w. Movement toward, northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 45 mph. Minimum central pressure, 1004 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 400 pm cdt.
 
Looks like the track has changed quite a bit recently. Moving further east and then with a sharp job to the north east predicted. It looks like some outer bands will reach up here in Tallahassee in a few hours. Hope we don't get any tornados spinning out of those bands.
 

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Looks like it's heading right towards Crystal River. :)

This'll be our FIRST hurricane as "official Florida landowners".

We don't have a house built yet, so we've got nothing to lose. Chuck
 
Big difference since yesterday, much more organized circulation.
 

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Hurricane season 2006: Hope by the end of this season we all can say it wasn't too bad... :yesnod: Now, check your lists again....
Batteries...check
Generator....check
Extra gas containers....check
Water....check
Plywood....check
And the list goes on and on......:yesnod:
 
exile said:
Big difference since yesterday, much more organized circulation.

Actually the convection shown in the radars is not right over top of the center of circulation. That's why they are predicting no strengthening and only remaining a tropical storm. Which is probably quite fortunate, since I'm sure the Gulf of Mexico is plenty warm enough to help in hurricane development.
 
ChuckG said:
Looks like it's heading right towards Crystal River. :)

This'll be our FIRST hurricane as "official Florida landowners".

We don't have a house built yet, so we've got nothing to lose. Chuck
it won't be a "cane so you are still hurricane virgins :D
 
Rich Z said:
Actually the convection shown in the radars is not right over top of the center of circulation. That's why they are predicting no strengthening and only remaining a tropical storm. Which is probably quite fortunate, since I'm sure the Gulf of Mexico is plenty warm enough to help in hurricane development.

I have heard that the water is cooler than it was this time last year due to the tradewinds. Give it another month and it will feel like bathwater. :rolleyes:
 
Well they changed the forecast again. Expected to reach hurricane force winds, and is taking a more northerly track for the center. Which pushes it closes to Tallahassee.... :ack2:

Getting some light wind squalls now but looks like some rough weather coming..
 

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Rich Z said:
Well they changed the forecast again. Expected to reach hurricane force winds, and is taking a more northerly track for the center. Which pushes it closes to Tallahassee.... :ack2:

Getting some light wind squalls now but looks like some rough weather coming..

This is the only reason I never moved to the Panhandle! Damned place is a hurricane magnet:eek:
 
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