https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/n...rricane-season
Gee, that was helpful.... 30% chance that the season will be above normal, 30% chance that the season will be below normal, and 40% chance this will be an average hurricane season. So they don't even have a 50% or better prediction of anything.
These people can't even accurately predict how silly their predictions are going to sound to people.