The ALL Florida Online Corvette Club








Corvette Top Sites

Go Back   The ALL Florida Online Corvette Club > Florida Specific Forums > General Florida Discussions

      Photo Gallery Screen Saver!      

General Florida Discussions Anything related to Florida in general. From "natives" talking about things they know about, to visitors asking about details to make their visit more pleasant.

Reply
Thread Tools Display Modes
Unread 05-27-2010, 02:08 AM   #1
Rich Z
Internet Sanitation Engineer
 
Rich Z's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Crawfordville, FL
Posts: 15,123
Name : Rich Zuchowski
Rich Z will become famous soon enoughRich Z will become famous soon enough
Default Hurricane season - 2010

http://www.newsmax.com/US/hurricanes...5/26/id/360249

Hell of a Year for Hurricanes, Expert Warns
Wednesday, 26 May 2010 10:06 PM
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. - The threat of an above-average 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has increased over the last month and it now promises to be "very active," a leading forecaster said Wednesday. The warning comes as the season also sees an unusual factor added to the mix: the Gulf oil disaster.

William Gray, the hurricane forecast pioneer who founded Colorado State University's respected storm research team, said CSU would ramp up their prediction for the 2010 season in a report due out on June 2.

"The numbers are going to go up quite high," Gray said. "This looks like a hell of a year."

Gray and Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster with the Colorado State team, both said forecast models showing a recent shift in wind patterns and warm tropical Atlantic waters had reinforced the likelihood that a busy hurricane season was on its way.

They referred specifically to reduced wind shear probabilities due to the dissipation of the El Nino weather phenomenon over the Pacific Ocean.

"El Nino died pretty quickly over the past couple of months," Klotzbach said.

An El Nino would normally allow wind sheer to seep into the Atlantic, disrupting storm formation and pushing embryonic hurricanes out to sea far from the oil-rig rich Gulf and the U.S. mainland.

Wind shear — caused by a clash between prevailing upper-levels winds out of the west and lower-level easterly winds out of Africa — can tear apart hurricanes or break up their circulation.

Both Gray and Klotzbach said a powerful storm, particularly if it comes out of the western portion of the Gulf, could propel large quantities of oil ashore in the northern Gulf.

"The counter-clockwise circulation could push oil inland, into the inland waterways, and cause a lot of problems," Klotzbach said.

Private forecaster on same page
On Tuesday, a private weather forecasting company said the 2010 season could be the most active since 2005, which was the most active in recorded history.

Weather Services International predicted 18 named storms, 10 hurricanes and five intense hurricanes, rated as Category 3 storm with winds of 110-130 mph, or greater.

That is well above the 1950-2009 averages of 10 named storms, six hurricanes, and three intense hurricanes and slightly above the averages from the more active recent 15-year period of 14 named storm, eight hurricanes and four intense hurricanes.

These numbers are also an increase from WSI's April forecast of 16 named storms, nine hurricanes and five intense hurricanes.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will release its updated 2010 hurricane season forecast on Thursday.

The forecasts are widely watched by energy and commodity markets for signs of potential weather disruptions to oil and gas installations in the Gulf of Mexico during the June to November hurricane season.

Other meteorologists have already predicted conditions are ripe for an unusually destructive hurricane season, which could disrupt efforts to clean up BP's oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.

East Coast cited at higher risk
WSI said the coastal region from the Outer Banks of North Carolina northward to Maine was twice as likely as normal to experience a hurricane this year.

"Our model suggests the threat to the Northeast coast this season is on par with that in Florida and the Gulf coastal states," WSI Chief Meteorologist Todd Crawford said in a release.

WSI said the 2009 tropical season was the quietest since 1997, as an emerging El Nino event combined with relatively cool tropical Atlantic waters to suppress widespread storm development.

"However, the primary drivers for tropical activity have sharply reversed course this year and everything is in place for an incredibly active season ... eastern and central tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are currently at record warm levels for May, even warmer than the freakishly active season of 2005," Crawford said.

The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, which included Hurricanes Katrina and Rita that devastated the oil and natural gas-rich U.S. Gulf Coast, was the most active in history, causing more than 1,500 U.S. deaths and more than $115 billion in damages, according to the National Hurricane Center.

"While we've increased our forecast numbers in both of the last two monthly updates, we are still more likely to raise than lower these numbers going forward," Crawford noted.
__________________
Rich Z is offline   Reply With Quote
Unread 05-27-2010, 09:04 AM   #2
Ms. AntiVenom
Vicious Evil Person
 
Ms. AntiVenom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Seffner - Tampa
Posts: 1,730
Name :
Ms. AntiVenom will become famous soon enough
Default

Last year was supposed to be this bad too, I hope they (the experts) are wrong again.
__________________
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Website
------------------------------------------------------
Ms. AntiVenom is offline   Reply With Quote
Unread 05-27-2010, 09:27 AM   #3
Shadow
Senior Member
 
Shadow's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: port of indecision
Posts: 5,604
Name :
Shadow will become famous soon enough
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ms. AntiVenom View Post
Last year was supposed to be this bad too, I hope they (the experts) are wrong again.
Yeah, me too

This is the sort of thing our team prepares for....and hopes we'll never (again) be needed...
__________________

Remember:
Artificial Intelligence is no replacement for Natural Stupidity!

Be Polite, Be Professional...and have a plan to kill everyone you meet.
Shadow is offline   Reply With Quote
Unread 05-28-2010, 02:15 PM   #4
Z06 Rocket
Senior Member
 
Z06 Rocket's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Florida
Posts: 1,640
Name :
Z06 Rocket is on a distinguished road
Default

The predictions are tied in to insurance rates. If the insurance companies can say that they need more coverage for disasters then they can get the increases they hope for. They never want to work like a regular company and dip into their savings to cover costs. They only use the pure profits to cover storm costs, and when that is done they better still have additional profits to enjoy or else.
Z06 Rocket is offline   Reply With Quote
Unread 05-29-2010, 12:04 PM   #5
CHASZ51
Z51
 
CHASZ51's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Port Richey FL
Posts: 2,093
Name :
CHASZ51 is on a distinguished road
Default

If there was ever a year for a early storm to come up the pipe in the gulf this will be the year thanks to the oil.
CHASZ51 is online now   Reply With Quote
Unread 05-30-2010, 12:02 AM   #6
floridaZ
Member
 
floridaZ's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Lake Alfred
Posts: 446
Name :
floridaZ has disabled reputation
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CHASZ51 View Post
If there was ever a year for a early storm to come up the pipe in the gulf this will be the year thanks to the oil.
HA!

I hope that we don't have any hurricanes of any great magnitude this year. Not only for our sakes, but for all the gulf island nations. Imagine if in a few weeks a Cat 3 was making it's way to, say, Haiti.
floridaZ is offline   Reply With Quote
Unread 06-01-2010, 03:25 PM   #7
THOR
Senior Member
 
THOR's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Bradenton, Fl.
Posts: 2,363
Name :
THOR will become famous soon enough
Default

I don't evev want to think what a hurricane or two will do to the oil leak in the Gulf.
THOR is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Florida Residents Should Make Emergency Communication Plans as 2010 Hurricane Season RSS Feed Florida News Feeds 0 05-17-2010 03:25 PM
[VIDEO] Corvette Racing Launches 2010 Season Video Series RSS Feed Corvette News Feeds 0 03-04-2010 12:22 PM
[VIDEO] Corvette Racing Launches 2010 Season Video Series RSS Feed Corvette News Feeds 0 03-03-2010 01:43 PM
Hurricane Preparedness Bob88 Just For Laughs! 3 09-12-2008 03:05 PM
Hurricane season - 2006 Rich Z General Florida Discussions 4 06-15-2006 04:05 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Page generated in 0.05235600 seconds with 11 queries
All material copyrighted by CorvetteFlorida.com and
the respective owners of the material posted.