Wind shear is supposed to keep it from developing.
From the weather channel.
Tropical Depression One remains poorly organized this morning with its center of circulation located in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level winds continue to keep the depression from organizing further. The bulk of the torrential rainfall remains east of the center (due to the upper-level winds), soaking many residents across western Cuba. Portions of western Cuba may pick up as much as 10 to 30 inches of rain by Monday. Deadly flash flooding and mudslides are possible. Some of the rain on the eastern fringe of the system has already moved into the Florida Keys and extreme southern Florida. If the depression remains weak, as now seems likely, the low level winds will steer it westward into the central Gulf. If it strengthens, it will track more northward in the eastern Gulf before westerly winds aloft guide it into northern Florida late Monday or early Tuesday. In either case, expect soaking rains over portions of southern Florida the next couple of days.
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