Isaac

[Rich Z]

Aw man.... It's not like we haven't had enough rain around here, and this tropical storm Isaac is now being forecast to come into the Gulf and develop into a hurricane. Each update brings it closer and closer to taking a bead right on our area by Tuesday. Unless it swings much further to the east, it appears somewhere in Florida is going to be the landfall point. With any luck it will break apart over Cuba and become a non event.

Now that my car is finished, any bets on the garage being hit by a tornado and the car winding up on top of a tree somewhere?

[shakedown067]

It looks like they keep predicting it to keep drifting further and further west than they stated much earlier. I originally predicted it'd go into the everglades, die out, and go right up the gut of Florida just pouring tons of rain down. We really won't know much till it pops out of the other side of Cuba. I'm with you and hopefully some of those mountains will knock the wind out of it's sails. But if it makes it into the Gulf, there is a lot of energy waiting to fill it full of new life.

[Rich Z]

I must be looking at a different projection, because every time I look at it, the predicted track is slightly more EAST than before. It looks like the estimate is for landfall at Panama City right now. Before that it was Destin, and before that Pensacola.

But at least it appears that it will be moving quickly and won't linger for long.

[jcb_njb]

The 2pm advisory has the track going through the panhandle. I may be a Cat 1 when it rolls through the lower keys. Then through the gulf and then hello panhandle sometime Wednesday. We in the Ft. Laud/Palm Beach area are going to get alot of rain and wind.

[Rich Z]

It looks like the latest advisory has the earlier part of the track moving further east, so it will miss the bulk of Cuba, then the upper part of the track moving further west with landfall Tuesday night around Ft. Walton. Subject to change without notice, of course. But in any event, I expect we'll get a LOT of rain around the Tallahassee area from it.

[Mark Dalton]

Originally Posted by Rich Z

It looks like the latest advisory has the earlier part of the track moving further east, so it will miss the bulk of Cuba, then the upper part of the track moving further west with landfall Tuesday night around Ft. Walton. Subject to change without notice, of course. But in any event, I expect we'll get a LOT of rain around the Tallahassee area from it.

Ft Walton? Great, that's just what I wanted to hear.

[Rich Z]

Heck, that forecast might change twenty times before landfall actually happens. Looks like it has swung a little bit more eastward as of the 5pm forecast, so see what I mean?

[Rich Z]

So we're looking at a possible category 2 hurricane up in the panhandle now?

[Rich Z]

Looks like the landfall point has moved further west to near Mobile, AL. Landfall is predicted to be around 2 am EST Wednesday with wind speeds of 105 mph.

[Rich Z]

The 2pm forecast is calling for landfall in coastal Mississippi. Maybe Florida will dodge this bullet as a direct hit.... But it does looks like the keys and south Florida are getting pummeled by rain pretty good now.